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Ravens @ Titans

Ravens
2416
Final
Titans
Sun, Oct 15, 2023, 9:30 AM ET · NFL 2023 week 6
Closing · ML -245 · SPR +5 · O/U 42.5

Archived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.

Matchup summary

Final: Ravens beat the Titans 24-16 on the road. The market closed with Ravens at -245 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.

More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Titans betting trends · all NFL games

Ravens vs Titans betting splits

Where was the money on Ravens vs Titans?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyClosing line / odds
SpreadRavens66%54%-5 (-110)
Titans34%46%+5 (-110)
TotalOver54%48%O 42.5 (-110)
Under46%52%U 42.5 (-110)
MoneylineRavens84%48%-245
Titans16%52%+200

66% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.

The over held 54% of total tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of total money was on the under with 46% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.

The Ravens held 84% of moneyline tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of moneyline money was on the Titans with 16% of tickets, so the average Titans bet was larger.

Line movement

What was the closing line for Ravens vs Titans?

MarketEarliest trackedClosingMove
Spread (Titans)+5.5+5-0.5
Total42.542.50

The Ravens were -5.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -5, a 0.5-point move toward the Titans.

The total was 42.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 42.5: it has not moved.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Ravens vs Titans line move?

The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Titans (Titans +5.5 to Titans +5) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Ravens; the Titans hold 46% of the money and 34% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (42.5) even with 52% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

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