Dolphins @ Jets
Dolphins
JetsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Jets 34-13 on the road. The market closed with Dolphins at -500 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Dolphins betting trends · Jets betting trends · all NFL games
Dolphins vs Jets betting splits
Where was the money on Dolphins vs Jets?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dolphins | 73% | 54% | -9 (-110) |
| Jets | 27% | 46% | +9 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 36% | 15% | O 40.5 (-105) |
| Under | 64% | 85% | U 40.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Dolphins | 85% | 91% | -500 |
| Jets | 15% | 9% | +375 |
73% of spread tickets and 54% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Jets bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
85% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Jets bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Dolphins vs Jets?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jets) | +9.5 | +9 | -0.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40.5 | -0.5 |
The Dolphins were -9.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -9, a 0.5-point move toward the Jets.
The total was 41 24 hours before kickoff and closed 40.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Dolphins vs Jets line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jets (Jets +9.5 to Jets +9) even though 54% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Jets hold 46% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (41 to 40.5), the side holding 85% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.