Cowboys @ 49ers
Cowboys
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Cowboys 42-10 at home. The market closed with Cowboys at +150 on the moneyline and the total at 45. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 35% | 20% | +3.5 (-115) |
| 49ers | 65% | 80% | -3.5 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 17% | O 45 (-110) |
| Under | 38% | 83% | U 45 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 15% | 27% | +150 |
| 49ers | 85% | 73% | -180 |
65% of spread tickets and 80% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Cowboys bet.
The over held 62% of total tickets but only 17% of the money; 83% of total money was on the under with 38% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
85% of moneyline tickets and 73% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Cowboys bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 45 | 45 | 0 |
The 49ers were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 45 24 hours before kickoff and closed 45: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs 49ers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (49ers -3.5) even with 80% of the spread money on the 49ers. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (45) even with 83% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.