Eagles @ Chiefs
Eagles
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Chiefs 21-17 on the road. The market closed with Eagles at +120 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 50% | 48% | +2.5 (-102) |
| Chiefs | 50% | 52% | -2.5 (-120) | |
| Total | Over | 48% | 40% | O 46 (-110) |
| Under | 52% | 60% | U 46 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 41% | 12% | +120 |
| Chiefs | 59% | 88% | -145 |
The Eagles held 50% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Chiefs with 50% of tickets, so the average Chiefs bet was larger.
52% of total tickets and 60% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
59% of moneyline tickets and 88% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the average Chiefs bet was larger than the average Eagles bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Chiefs?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 46 | +0.5 |
The Chiefs were -2.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 45.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 46, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Chiefs line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Chiefs -2.5) even with 52% of the spread money on the Chiefs. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (45.5 to 46) even though 60% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 40% of the money and 48% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.