Giants @ Dolphins
Giants
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Giants 31-16 at home. The market closed with Giants at +490 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 9% | 4% | +13 (-110) |
| Dolphins | 91% | 96% | -13 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 51% | 76% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 49% | 24% | U 48 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 1% | 3% | +490 |
| Dolphins | 99% | 97% | -700 |
91% of spread tickets and 96% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the average Dolphins bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
51% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
99% of moneyline tickets and 97% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -12.5 | -13 | -0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 48 | +0.5 |
The Dolphins were -12.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -13, a 0.5-point move toward the Dolphins.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Dolphins line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Dolphins (Dolphins -12.5 to Dolphins -13), the side holding 96% of the spread money and 91% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (47.5 to 48), the side holding 76% of the total money and 51% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.