Ravens @ Steelers
Ravens
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Ravens 17-10 at home. The market closed with Ravens at -225 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Ravens betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Ravens vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Ravens vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Ravens | 33% | 17% | -5 (-110) |
| Steelers | 67% | 83% | +5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 4% | 1% | O 38.5 (-110) |
| Under | 96% | 99% | U 38.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Ravens | 93% | 52% | -225 |
| Steelers | 7% | 48% | +188 |
67% of spread tickets and 83% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Ravens bet.
96% of total tickets and 99% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Ravens vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +4.5 | +5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 38 | 38.5 | +0.5 |
The Ravens were -4.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5, a 0.5-point move toward the Ravens.
The total was 38 24 hours before kickoff and closed 38.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Ravens vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Ravens (Steelers +4.5 to Steelers +5) even though 83% of the spread money sits on the Steelers; the Ravens hold 17% of the money and 33% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (38 to 38.5) even though 99% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 1% of the money and 4% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.