Panthers @ Lions
Panthers
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Panthers 42-24 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +350 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 15% | 37% | +9.5 (-110) |
| Lions | 85% | 63% | -9.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 64% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 34% | 36% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 3% | 59% | +350 |
| Lions | 97% | 41% | -480 |
85% of spread tickets and 63% of spread money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
66% of total tickets and 64% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Lions held 97% of moneyline tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of moneyline money was on the Panthers with 3% of tickets, so the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -9.5 | -9.5 | 0 |
| Total | 44 | 43.5 | -0.5 |
The Lions were -9.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -9.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Lions -9.5) even with 63% of the spread money on the Lions. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (44 to 43.5) even though 64% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 36% of the money and 34% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.