Titans @ Colts
Titans
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Titans 23-16 at home. The market closed with Titans at -140 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 57% | 53% | -2.5 (-110) |
| Colts | 43% | 47% | +2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 55% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 29% | 45% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 35% | 58% | -140 |
| Colts | 65% | 42% | +115 |
57% of spread tickets and 53% of spread money were on the Titans, so the Titans drew more tickets than money and the average Colts bet was larger.
71% of total tickets and 55% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Colts held 65% of moneyline tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of moneyline money was on the Titans with 35% of tickets, so the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | +2.5 | +2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43 | 43.5 | +0.5 |
The Titans were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Colts line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Colts +2.5) even with 53% of the spread money on the Titans. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (43 to 43.5), the side holding 55% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.