Jets @ Broncos
Jets
BroncosArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jets beat the Broncos 31-21 on the road. The market closed with Jets at +114 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 5 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Broncos betting trends · all NFL games
Jets vs Broncos betting splits
Where was the money on Jets vs Broncos?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jets | 67% | 45% | +2.5 (-110) |
| Broncos | 33% | 55% | -2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 98% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 34% | 2% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Jets | 83% | 75% | +114 |
| Broncos | 17% | 25% | -135 |
The Jets held 67% of spread tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of spread money was on the Broncos with 33% of tickets, so the average Broncos bet was larger.
66% of total tickets and 98% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
83% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Jets, so the Jets drew more tickets than money and the average Broncos bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jets vs Broncos?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Broncos) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Broncos were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jets vs Broncos line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Broncos -2.5) even with 55% of the spread money on the Broncos. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5) even though 98% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 2% of the money and 34% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.