Vikings @ Bears
Vikings
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Bears 19-13 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -156 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 57% | 61% | -3 (-114) |
| Bears | 43% | 39% | +3 (-106) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 53% | O 44.5 (-114) |
| Under | 29% | 47% | U 44.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 64% | 51% | -156 |
| Bears | 36% | 49% | +132 |
57% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the average Vikings bet was larger than the average Bears bet.
71% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
64% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Bears?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The Vikings were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Bears line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Bears +3) even with 61% of the spread money on the Vikings. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5), the side holding 53% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.