Panthers @ Dolphins
Panthers
DolphinsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Dolphins beat the Panthers 42-21 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +660 on the moneyline and the total at 47.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Dolphins betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Dolphins betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Dolphins?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 29% | 45% | +14 (-110) |
| Dolphins | 71% | 55% | -14 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 55% | 25% | O 47.5 (-105) |
| Under | 45% | 75% | U 47.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 4% | 16% | +660 |
| Dolphins | 96% | 84% | -1000 |
71% of spread tickets and 55% of spread money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
The over held 55% of total tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of total money was on the under with 45% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
96% of moneyline tickets and 84% of moneyline money were on the Dolphins, so the Dolphins drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Dolphins?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Dolphins) | -14.5 | -14 | +0.5 |
| Total | 47.5 | 47.5 | 0 |
The Dolphins were -14.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -14, a 0.5-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 47.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 47.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Dolphins line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Panthers (Dolphins -14.5 to Dolphins -14) even though 55% of the spread money sits on the Dolphins; the Panthers hold 45% of the money and 29% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (47.5) even with 75% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.