49ers @ Browns
49ers
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the 49ers 19-17 at home. The market closed with 49ers at -480 on the moneyline and the total at 36. This was an NFL 2023 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 72% | 69% | -9.5 (-115) |
| Browns | 28% | 31% | +9.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 26% | 13% | O 36 (-110) |
| Under | 74% | 87% | U 36 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 93% | 94% | -480 |
| Browns | 7% | 6% | +370 |
72% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
74% of total tickets and 87% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Browns?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | +9.5 | +9.5 | 0 |
| Total | 36 | 36 | 0 |
The 49ers were -9.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -9.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 36 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 36: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Browns line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Browns +9.5) even with 69% of the spread money on the 49ers. The total did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (36) even with 87% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.