Cowboys @ Chargers
Cowboys
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Chargers 20-17 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at -120 on the moneyline and the total at 49.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 6 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 48% | 44% | -1.5 (-110) |
| Chargers | 52% | 56% | +1.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 17% | O 49.5 (-112) |
| Under | 54% | 83% | U 49.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 62% | 71% | -120 |
| Chargers | 38% | 29% | +102 |
52% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the average Chargers bet was larger than the average Cowboys bet.
54% of total tickets and 83% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 71% of moneyline money were on the Cowboys, so the average Cowboys bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Chargers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | +1.5 | +1.5 | 0 |
| Total | 51 | 49.5 | -1.5 |
The Cowboys were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 51 24 hours before kickoff and closed 49.5, a 1.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Chargers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Chargers +1.5) even with 56% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total moved 1.5 points toward the under (51 to 49.5), the side holding 83% of the total money and 54% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.