Commanders @ Giants
Commanders
GiantsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Giants beat the Commanders 14-7 at home. The market closed with Commanders at -162 on the moneyline and the total at 36.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Commanders betting trends · Giants betting trends · all NFL games
Commanders vs Giants betting splits
Where was the money on Commanders vs Giants?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders | 48% | 44% | -3 (-110) |
| Giants | 52% | 56% | +3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 59% | 27% | O 36.5 (-120) |
| Under | 41% | 73% | U 36.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Commanders | 52% | 42% | -162 |
| Giants | 48% | 58% | +136 |
52% of spread tickets and 56% of spread money were on the Giants, so the average Giants bet was larger than the average Commanders bet.
The over held 59% of total tickets but only 27% of the money; 73% of total money was on the under with 41% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Commanders held 52% of moneyline tickets but only 42% of the money; 58% of moneyline money was on the Giants with 48% of tickets, so the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Commanders vs Giants?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Giants) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 37.5 | 36.5 | -1 |
The Commanders were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 37.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 36.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Commanders vs Giants line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Giants +3) even with 56% of the spread money on the Giants. The total moved 1 point toward the under (37.5 to 36.5), the side holding 73% of the total money and 41% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.