Lions @ Ravens
Lions
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Ravens beat the Lions 38-6 at home. The market closed with Lions at +135 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 42% | 30% | +3 (-105) |
| Ravens | 58% | 70% | -3 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 73% | 61% | O 43.5 (-107) |
| Under | 27% | 39% | U 43.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 37% | 60% | +135 |
| Ravens | 63% | 40% | -160 |
58% of spread tickets and 70% of spread money were on the Ravens, so the average Ravens bet was larger than the average Lions bet.
73% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Ravens held 63% of moneyline tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of moneyline money was on the Lions with 37% of tickets, so the average Lions bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 43 | 43.5 | +0.5 |
The Ravens were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Ravens line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Ravens -3) even with 70% of the spread money on the Ravens. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (43 to 43.5), the side holding 61% of the total money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.