Chargers @ Chiefs
Chargers
ChiefsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Chargers 31-17 at home. The market closed with Chargers at +215 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chargers betting trends · Chiefs betting trends · all NFL games
Chargers vs Chiefs betting splits
Where was the money on Chargers vs Chiefs?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chargers | 75% | 74% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Chiefs | 25% | 26% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 67% | 40% | O 48.5 (-110) |
| Under | 33% | 60% | U 48.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chargers | 21% | 48% | +215 |
| Chiefs | 79% | 52% | -260 |
75% of spread tickets and 74% of spread money were on the Chargers, so the Chargers drew more tickets than money and the average Chiefs bet was larger.
The over held 67% of total tickets but only 40% of the money; 60% of total money was on the under with 33% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
79% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Chargers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chargers vs Chiefs?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chiefs) | -5.5 | -5.5 | 0 |
| Total | 47.5 | 48.5 | +1 |
The Chiefs were -5.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 47.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chargers vs Chiefs line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Chiefs -5.5) even with 74% of the spread money on the Chargers. The total moved 1 point toward the over (47.5 to 48.5) even though 60% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 40% of the money and 67% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.