49ers @ Vikings
49ers
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the 49ers 22-17 at home. The market closed with 49ers at -310 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2023 week 7 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 55% | 51% | -7 (-104) |
| Vikings | 45% | 49% | +7 (-116) | |
| Total | Over | 61% | 57% | O 44 (-110) |
| Under | 39% | 43% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 90% | 83% | -310 |
| Vikings | 10% | 17% | +250 |
55% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
61% of total tickets and 57% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 83% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Vikings bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Vikings?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | +7 | +7 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44 | +0.5 |
The 49ers were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Vikings line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Vikings +7) even with 51% of the spread money on the 49ers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (43.5 to 44), the side holding 57% of the total money and 61% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.