Vikings @ Packers
Vikings
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Vikings beat the Packers 24-10 on the road. The market closed with Vikings at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 41.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Vikings betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Vikings vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Vikings vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings | 38% | 19% | -1 (-105) |
| Packers | 62% | 81% | +1 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 67% | 25% | O 41.5 (-115) |
| Under | 33% | 75% | U 41.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Vikings | 61% | 32% | -112 |
| Packers | 39% | 68% | -108 |
62% of spread tickets and 81% of spread money were on the Packers, so the average Packers bet was larger than the average Vikings bet.
The over held 67% of total tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of total money was on the under with 33% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
The Vikings held 61% of moneyline tickets but only 32% of the money; 68% of moneyline money was on the Packers with 39% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Vikings vs Packers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | +1.5 | +1 | -0.5 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 | 0 |
The Vikings were -1.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1, a 0.5-point move toward the Packers.
The total was 41.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 41.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Vikings vs Packers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Packers (Packers +1.5 to Packers +1), the side holding 81% of the spread money and 62% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (41.5) even with 75% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.