Texans @ Panthers
Texans
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Panthers beat the Texans 15-13 at home. The market closed with Texans at -166 on the moneyline and the total at 43. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 48% | 50% | -3.5 (-107) |
| Panthers | 52% | 50% | +3.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 70% | 93% | O 43 (-110) |
| Under | 30% | 7% | U 43 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 63% | 52% | -166 |
| Panthers | 37% | 48% | +140 |
Spread money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 48% Texans, 52% Panthers).
70% of total tickets and 93% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
63% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Texans, so the Texans drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +3.5 | +3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43 | -0.5 |
The Texans were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Panthers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Panthers +3.5). The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (43.5 to 43) even though 93% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 7% of the money and 30% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.