Jaguars @ Steelers
Jaguars
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jaguars beat the Steelers 20-10 on the road. The market closed with Jaguars at -132 on the moneyline and the total at 40.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Jaguars betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Jaguars vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Jaguars vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Jaguars | 52% | 51% | -2.5 (-110) |
| Steelers | 48% | 49% | +2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 52% | 28% | O 40.5 (-115) |
| Under | 48% | 72% | U 40.5 (-105) | |
| Moneyline | Jaguars | 52% | 68% | -132 |
| Steelers | 48% | 32% | +112 |
52% of spread tickets and 51% of spread money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
The over held 52% of total tickets but only 28% of the money; 72% of total money was on the under with 48% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
52% of moneyline tickets and 68% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the average Jaguars bet was larger than the average Steelers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Jaguars vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | +2 | +2.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 41 | 40.5 | -0.5 |
The Jaguars were -2 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Jaguars.
The total was 41 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 40.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Jaguars vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Jaguars (Steelers +2 to Steelers +2.5), the side holding 51% of the spread money and 52% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (41 to 40.5), the side holding 72% of the total money and 48% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.