Saints @ Colts
Saints
ColtsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Saints beat the Colts 38-27 on the road. The market closed with Saints at -130 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Saints betting trends · Colts betting trends · all NFL games
Saints vs Colts betting splits
Where was the money on Saints vs Colts?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints | 60% | 44% | -2 (-110) |
| Colts | 40% | 56% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 54% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 36% | 46% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Saints | 46% | 53% | -130 |
| Colts | 54% | 47% | +110 |
The Saints held 60% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Colts with 40% of tickets, so the average Colts bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Colts held 54% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Saints with 46% of tickets, so the average Saints bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Saints vs Colts?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Colts) | +2 | +2 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Saints were -2 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Saints vs Colts line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Colts +2) even with 56% of the spread money on the Colts. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 54% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.