Eagles @ Commanders
Eagles
CommandersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Commanders 38-31 on the road. The market closed with Eagles at -305 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Eagles betting trends · Commanders betting trends · all NFL games
Eagles vs Commanders betting splits
Where was the money on Eagles vs Commanders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Eagles | 44% | 24% | -7 (-112) |
| Commanders | 56% | 76% | +7 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 16% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 53% | 84% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Eagles | 90% | 65% | -305 |
| Commanders | 10% | 35% | +245 |
56% of spread tickets and 76% of spread money were on the Commanders, so the average Commanders bet was larger than the average Eagles bet.
53% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
90% of moneyline tickets and 65% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the Eagles drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Eagles vs Commanders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Commanders) | +7 | +7 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Eagles were -7 24 hours before kickoff and closed -7: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Eagles vs Commanders line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Commanders +7) even with 76% of the spread money on the Commanders. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5), the side holding 84% of the total money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.