Browns @ Seahawks
Browns
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Browns 24-20 at home. The market closed with Browns at +170 on the moneyline and the total at 39. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 45% | 55% | +4.5 (-110) |
| Seahawks | 55% | 45% | -4.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 32% | 16% | O 39 (-110) |
| Under | 68% | 84% | U 39 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 35% | 49% | +170 |
| Seahawks | 65% | 51% | -205 |
The Seahawks held 55% of spread tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of spread money was on the Browns with 45% of tickets, so the average Browns bet was larger.
68% of total tickets and 84% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
65% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Seahawks?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -3.5 | -4.5 | -1 |
| Total | 37.5 | 39 | +1.5 |
The Seahawks were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -4.5, a 1-point move toward the Seahawks.
The total was 37.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 39, a 1.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Seahawks line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Seahawks (Seahawks -3.5 to Seahawks -4.5) even though 55% of the spread money sits on the Browns; the Seahawks hold 45% of the money and 55% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1.5 points toward the over (37.5 to 39) even though 84% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 16% of the money and 32% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.