Bengals @ 49ers
Bengals
49ersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bengals beat the 49ers 31-17 on the road. The market closed with Bengals at +185 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bengals betting trends · 49ers betting trends · all NFL games
Bengals vs 49ers betting splits
Where was the money on Bengals vs 49ers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bengals | 63% | 68% | +4.5 (-112) |
| 49ers | 37% | 32% | -4.5 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 64% | 39% | O 44.5 (-107) |
| Under | 36% | 61% | U 44.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bengals | 67% | 83% | +185 |
| 49ers | 33% | 17% | -225 |
63% of spread tickets and 68% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
The over held 64% of total tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of total money was on the under with 36% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
67% of moneyline tickets and 83% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the average Bengals bet was larger than the average 49ers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bengals vs 49ers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (49ers) | -5.5 | -4.5 | +1 |
| Total | 43.5 | 44.5 | +1 |
The 49ers were -5.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -4.5, a 1-point move toward the Bengals.
The total was 43.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bengals vs 49ers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Bengals (49ers -5.5 to 49ers -4.5), the side holding 68% of the spread money and 63% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the over (43.5 to 44.5) even though 61% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 39% of the money and 64% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.