Bears @ Chargers
Bears
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chargers beat the Bears 30-13 at home. The market closed with Bears at +360 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 57% | 33% | +10 (-110) |
| Chargers | 43% | 67% | -10 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 52% | 54% | O 46 (-108) |
| Under | 48% | 46% | U 46 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 19% | 59% | +360 |
| Chargers | 81% | 41% | -470 |
The Bears held 57% of spread tickets but only 33% of the money; 67% of spread money was on the Chargers with 43% of tickets, so the average Chargers bet was larger.
52% of total tickets and 54% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
The Chargers held 81% of moneyline tickets but only 41% of the money; 59% of moneyline money was on the Bears with 19% of tickets, so the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Chargers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | -8.5 | -10 | -1.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46 | -0.5 |
The Chargers were -8.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -10, a 1.5-point move toward the Chargers.
The total was 46.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 46, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 1.5 points toward the Chargers (Chargers -8.5 to Chargers -10), the side holding 67% of the spread money and 43% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (46.5 to 46) even though 54% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 46% of the money and 48% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.