Raiders @ Lions
Raiders
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Raiders 26-14 at home. The market closed with Raiders at +280 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2023 week 8 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Raiders betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Raiders vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Raiders vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Raiders | 18% | 14% | +7 (-110) |
| Lions | 82% | 86% | -7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 55% | 50% | O 46 (-112) |
| Under | 45% | 50% | U 46 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Raiders | 9% | 33% | +280 |
| Lions | 91% | 67% | -350 |
82% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Raiders bet.
Total money was split evenly at 50% a side (tickets 55% Over, 45% Under).
91% of moneyline tickets and 67% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Raiders vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -7 | -7 | 0 |
| Total | 45.5 | 46 | +0.5 |
The Lions were -7 one hour before kickoff and closed -7: the spread has not moved.
The total was 45.5 one hour before kickoff and closed 46, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Raiders vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked one hour before kickoff (Lions -7) even with 86% of the spread money on the Lions. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (45.5 to 46); total money is split evenly, so the move did not follow either side's money. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.