Titans @ Steelers
Titans
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Titans 20-16 at home. The market closed with Titans at +150 on the moneyline and the total at 37. This was an NFL 2023 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 41% | 40% | +3.5 (-115) |
| Steelers | 59% | 60% | -3.5 (-105) | |
| Total | Over | 27% | 27% | O 37 (-110) |
| Under | 73% | 73% | U 37 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 32% | 47% | +150 |
| Steelers | 68% | 53% | -178 |
59% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Titans bet.
73% of total tickets and 73% of total money were on the under, with money and tickets in step.
68% of moneyline tickets and 53% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | -2.5 | -3.5 | -1 |
| Total | 36.5 | 37 | +0.5 |
The Steelers were -2.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 1-point move toward the Steelers.
The total was 36.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 37, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Steelers (Steelers -2.5 to Steelers -3.5), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 59% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (36.5 to 37) even though 73% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 27% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.