Rams @ Packers
Rams
PackersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Rams 20-3 at home. The market closed with Rams at +155 on the moneyline and the total at 37.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Rams betting trends · Packers betting trends · all NFL games
Rams vs Packers betting splits
Where was the money on Rams vs Packers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rams | 53% | 49% | +3.5 (-107) |
| Packers | 47% | 51% | -3.5 (-112) | |
| Total | Over | 36% | 6% | O 37.5 (-110) |
| Under | 64% | 94% | U 37.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Rams | 60% | 53% | +155 |
| Packers | 40% | 47% | -190 |
The Rams held 53% of spread tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of spread money was on the Packers with 47% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
64% of total tickets and 94% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
60% of moneyline tickets and 53% of moneyline money were on the Rams, so the Rams drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Rams vs Packers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Packers) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 38.5 | 37.5 | -1 |
The Packers were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 38.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 37.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Rams vs Packers line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Packers -3.5) even with 51% of the spread money on the Packers. The total moved 1 point toward the under (38.5 to 37.5), the side holding 94% of the total money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.