Cardinals @ Browns
Cardinals
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Cardinals 27-0 at home. The market closed with Cardinals at +525 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cardinals betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Cardinals vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Cardinals vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals | 30% | 40% | +13 (-111) |
| Browns | 70% | 60% | -13 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 25% | 22% | O 38.5 (-105) |
| Under | 75% | 78% | U 38.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 7% | 6% | +525 |
| Browns | 93% | 94% | -750 |
70% of spread tickets and 60% of spread money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Cardinals bet was larger.
75% of total tickets and 78% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
93% of moneyline tickets and 94% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the average Browns bet was larger than the average Cardinals bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cardinals vs Browns?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -12.5 | -13 | -0.5 |
| Total | 38 | 38.5 | +0.5 |
The Browns were -12.5 three hours before kickoff and closed -13, a 0.5-point move toward the Browns.
The total was 38 three hours before kickoff and closed 38.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cardinals vs Browns line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Browns (Browns -12.5 to Browns -13), the side holding 60% of the spread money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (38 to 38.5) even though 78% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 22% of the money and 25% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.