Colts @ Panthers
Colts
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Colts beat the Panthers 27-13 on the road. The market closed with Colts at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Colts betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Colts vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Colts vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Colts | 36% | 27% | -1.5 (-109) |
| Panthers | 64% | 73% | +1.5 (-111) | |
| Total | Over | 69% | 53% | O 44.5 (-112) |
| Under | 31% | 47% | U 44.5 (-111) | |
| Moneyline | Colts | 40% | 33% | -125 |
| Panthers | 60% | 67% | +105 |
64% of spread tickets and 73% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
69% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
60% of moneyline tickets and 67% of moneyline money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Colts bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Colts vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +2.5 | +1.5 | -1 |
| Total | 44 | 44.5 | +0.5 |
The Colts were -2.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1.5, a 1-point move toward the Panthers.
The total was 44 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Colts vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Panthers (Panthers +2.5 to Panthers +1.5), the side holding 73% of the spread money and 64% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (44 to 44.5), the side holding 53% of the total money and 69% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.