Giants @ Raiders
Giants
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Raiders beat the Giants 30-6 at home. The market closed with Giants at -110 on the moneyline and the total at 38. This was an NFL 2023 week 9 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Giants betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Giants vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Giants vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Giants | 47% | 35% | +0.5 (-110) |
| Raiders | 53% | 65% | -0.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 33% | 54% | O 38 (-106) |
| Under | 67% | 46% | U 38 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Giants | 44% | 53% | -110 |
| Raiders | 56% | 47% | -110 |
53% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Raiders, so the average Raiders bet was larger than the average Giants bet.
The under held 67% of total tickets but only 46% of the money; 54% of total money was on the over with 33% of tickets, so the average over bet was larger.
The Raiders held 56% of moneyline tickets but only 47% of the money; 53% of moneyline money was on the Giants with 44% of tickets, so the average Giants bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Giants vs Raiders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | -1.5 | -0.5 | +1 |
| Total | 37.5 | 38 | +0.5 |
The Raiders were -1.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -0.5, a 1-point move toward the Giants.
The total was 37.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 38, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Giants vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Giants (Raiders -1.5 to Raiders -0.5) even though 65% of the spread money sits on the Raiders; the Giants hold 35% of the money and 47% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (37.5 to 38), the side holding 54% of the total money and 33% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.