Panthers @ Bears
Panthers
BearsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Panthers 16-13 at home. The market closed with Panthers at +148 on the moneyline and the total at 38. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Panthers betting trends · Bears betting trends · all NFL games
Panthers vs Bears betting splits
Where was the money on Panthers vs Bears?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Panthers | 55% | 77% | +3.5 (-114) |
| Bears | 45% | 23% | -3.5 (-107) | |
| Total | Over | 29% | 23% | O 38 (-110) |
| Under | 71% | 77% | U 38 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Panthers | 35% | 49% | +148 |
| Bears | 65% | 51% | -176 |
55% of spread tickets and 77% of spread money were on the Panthers, so the average Panthers bet was larger than the average Bears bet.
71% of total tickets and 77% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
65% of moneyline tickets and 51% of moneyline money were on the Bears, so the Bears drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Panthers vs Bears?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bears) | -3.5 | -3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 38.5 | 38 | -0.5 |
The Bears were -3.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -3.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 38.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 38, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Panthers vs Bears line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Bears -3.5) even with 77% of the spread money on the Panthers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (38.5 to 38), the side holding 77% of the total money and 71% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.