49ers @ Jaguars
49ers
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Jaguars 34-3 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at -166 on the moneyline and the total at 44.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 53% | 38% | -3 (-112) |
| Jaguars | 47% | 62% | +3 (-108) | |
| Total | Over | 46% | 44% | O 44.5 (-112) |
| Under | 54% | 56% | U 44.5 (-109) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 64% | 66% | -166 |
| Jaguars | 36% | 34% | +140 |
The 49ers held 53% of spread tickets but only 38% of the money; 62% of spread money was on the Jaguars with 47% of tickets, so the average Jaguars bet was larger.
54% of total tickets and 56% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
64% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Jaguars bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | +3 | +3 | 0 |
| Total | 44.5 | 44.5 | 0 |
The 49ers were -3 one hour before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44.5 one hour before kickoff and closed 44.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Jaguars line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked one hour before kickoff (Jaguars +3) even with 62% of the spread money on the Jaguars. The total did not move from the line tracked one hour before kickoff (44.5) even with 56% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.