Browns @ Ravens
Browns
RavensArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Ravens 33-31 on the road. The market closed with Browns at +210 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Browns betting trends · Ravens betting trends · all NFL games
Browns vs Ravens betting splits
Where was the money on Browns vs Ravens?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Browns | 41% | 56% | +6 (-110) |
| Ravens | 59% | 44% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 28% | 13% | O 38.5 (-112) |
| Under | 72% | 87% | U 38.5 (-112) | |
| Moneyline | Browns | 21% | 48% | +210 |
| Ravens | 79% | 52% | -255 |
The Ravens held 59% of spread tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of spread money was on the Browns with 41% of tickets, so the average Browns bet was larger.
72% of total tickets and 87% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
79% of moneyline tickets and 52% of moneyline money were on the Ravens, so the Ravens drew more tickets than money and the average Browns bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Browns vs Ravens?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Ravens) | -6.5 | -6 | +0.5 |
| Total | 38 | 38.5 | +0.5 |
The Ravens were -6.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -6, a 0.5-point move toward the Browns.
The total was 38 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 38.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Browns vs Ravens line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Browns (Ravens -6.5 to Ravens -6), the side holding 56% of the spread money and 41% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (38 to 38.5) even though 87% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 13% of the money and 28% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.