Texans @ Bengals
Texans
BengalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Bengals 30-27 on the road. The market closed with Texans at +205 on the moneyline and the total at 46. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Texans betting trends · Bengals betting trends · all NFL games
Texans vs Bengals betting splits
Where was the money on Texans vs Bengals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texans | 31% | 35% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Bengals | 69% | 65% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 62% | 49% | O 46 (-110) |
| Under | 38% | 51% | U 46 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Texans | 14% | 23% | +205 |
| Bengals | 86% | 77% | -250 |
69% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
The over held 62% of total tickets but only 49% of the money; 51% of total money was on the under with 38% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
86% of moneyline tickets and 77% of moneyline money were on the Bengals, so the Bengals drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Texans vs Bengals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Bengals) | -6.5 | -5.5 | +1 |
| Total | 47 | 46 | -1 |
The Bengals were -6.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 1-point move toward the Texans.
The total was 47 seven hours before kickoff and closed 46, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Texans vs Bengals line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Texans (Bengals -6.5 to Bengals -5.5) even though 65% of the spread money sits on the Bengals; the Texans hold 35% of the money and 31% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the under (47 to 46), the side holding 51% of the total money and 38% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.