Packers @ Steelers
Packers
SteelersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Steelers beat the Packers 23-19 at home. The market closed with Packers at +145 on the moneyline and the total at 38.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Steelers betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Steelers betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Steelers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 37% | 52% | +3.5 (-110) |
| Steelers | 63% | 48% | -3.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 11% | 7% | O 38.5 (-112) |
| Under | 89% | 93% | U 38.5 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 13% | 39% | +145 |
| Steelers | 87% | 61% | -175 |
The Steelers held 63% of spread tickets but only 48% of the money; 52% of spread money was on the Packers with 37% of tickets, so the average Packers bet was larger.
89% of total tickets and 93% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
87% of moneyline tickets and 61% of moneyline money were on the Steelers, so the Steelers drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Steelers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Steelers) | -3 | -3.5 | -0.5 |
| Total | 38.5 | 38.5 | 0 |
The Steelers were -3 three hours before kickoff and closed -3.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Steelers.
The total was 38.5 three hours before kickoff and closed 38.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Steelers line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Steelers (Steelers -3 to Steelers -3.5) even though 52% of the spread money sits on the Packers; the Steelers hold 48% of the money and 63% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked three hours before kickoff (38.5) even with 93% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.