Falcons @ Cardinals
Falcons
CardinalsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cardinals beat the Falcons 25-23 at home. The market closed with Falcons at -125 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Falcons betting trends · Cardinals betting trends · all NFL games
Falcons vs Cardinals betting splits
Where was the money on Falcons vs Cardinals?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Falcons | 46% | 38% | -2 (-110) |
| Cardinals | 54% | 62% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 70% | 89% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 30% | 11% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Falcons | 68% | 66% | -125 |
| Cardinals | 32% | 34% | +105 |
54% of spread tickets and 62% of spread money were on the Cardinals, so the average Cardinals bet was larger than the average Falcons bet.
70% of total tickets and 89% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
68% of moneyline tickets and 66% of moneyline money were on the Falcons, so the Falcons drew more tickets than money and the average Cardinals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Falcons vs Cardinals?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Cardinals) | +2 | +2 | 0 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 | 0 |
The Falcons were -2 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -2: the spread has not moved.
The total was 43.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 43.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Falcons vs Cardinals line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Cardinals +2) even with 62% of the spread money on the Cardinals. The total did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (43.5) even with 89% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.