Lions @ Chargers
Lions
ChargersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Chargers 41-38 on the road. The market closed with Lions at -135 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Lions betting trends · Chargers betting trends · all NFL games
Lions vs Chargers betting splits
Where was the money on Lions vs Chargers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lions | 73% | 86% | -2 (-110) |
| Chargers | 27% | 14% | +2 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 83% | 68% | O 48.5 (-110) |
| Under | 17% | 32% | U 48.5 (-107) | |
| Moneyline | Lions | 60% | 80% | -135 |
| Chargers | 40% | 20% | +114 |
73% of spread tickets and 86% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
83% of total tickets and 68% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
60% of moneyline tickets and 80% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Chargers bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Lions vs Chargers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Chargers) | +3 | +2 | -1 |
| Total | 48.5 | 48.5 | 0 |
The Lions were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2, a 1-point move toward the Chargers.
The total was 48.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Lions vs Chargers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Chargers (Chargers +3 to Chargers +2) even though 86% of the spread money sits on the Lions; the Chargers hold 14% of the money and 27% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (48.5) even with 68% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.