Commanders @ Seahawks
Commanders
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Seahawks beat the Commanders 29-26 at home. The market closed with Commanders at +205 on the moneyline and the total at 44. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Commanders betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
Commanders vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on Commanders vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Commanders | 27% | 35% | +6 (-110) |
| Seahawks | 73% | 65% | -6 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 65% | 37% | O 44 (-112) |
| Under | 35% | 63% | U 44 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Commanders | 27% | 28% | +205 |
| Seahawks | 73% | 72% | -270 |
73% of spread tickets and 65% of spread money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
The over held 65% of total tickets but only 37% of the money; 63% of total money was on the under with 35% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
73% of moneyline tickets and 72% of moneyline money were on the Seahawks, so the Seahawks drew more tickets than money and the average Commanders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Commanders vs Seahawks?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | -6 | -6 | 0 |
| Total | 45 | 44 | -1 |
The Seahawks were -6 24 hours before kickoff and closed -6: the spread has not moved.
The total was 45 24 hours before kickoff and closed 44, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Commanders vs Seahawks line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Seahawks -6) even with 65% of the spread money on the Seahawks. The total moved 1 point toward the under (45 to 44), the side holding 63% of the total money and 35% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.