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Jets @ Raiders

Jets
1216
Final
Raiders
Sun, Nov 12, 2023, 8:20 PM ET · NFL 2023 week 10
Closing · ML -112 · SPR +1 · O/U 36

Archived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.

Matchup summary

Final: Raiders beat the Jets 16-12 at home. The market closed with Jets at -112 on the moneyline and the total at 36. This was an NFL 2023 week 10 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.

More on this matchup: Jets betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games

Jets vs Raiders betting splits

Where was the money on Jets vs Raiders?

MarketSideTicketsMoneyClosing line / odds
SpreadJets47%55%-1 (-107)
Raiders53%45%+1 (-113)
TotalOver30%15%O 36 (-110)
Under70%85%U 36 (-110)
MoneylineJets48%66%-112
Raiders52%34%-106

The Raiders held 53% of spread tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of spread money was on the Jets with 47% of tickets, so the average Jets bet was larger.

70% of total tickets and 85% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.

The Raiders held 52% of moneyline tickets but only 34% of the money; 66% of moneyline money was on the Jets with 48% of tickets, so the average Jets bet was larger.

Line movement

What was the closing line for Jets vs Raiders?

MarketEarliest trackedClosingMove
Spread (Raiders)+1+10
Total36.536-0.5

The Jets were -1 24 hours before kickoff and closed -1: the spread has not moved.

The total was 36.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 36, a 0.5-point move toward the under.

The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.

Why the line moved

Why did the Jets vs Raiders line move?

The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Raiders +1) even with 55% of the spread money on the Jets. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (36.5 to 36), the side holding 85% of the total money and 70% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.

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