Titans @ Jaguars
Titans
JaguarsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Jaguars beat the Titans 34-14 at home. The market closed with Titans at +240 on the moneyline and the total at 40. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Titans betting trends · Jaguars betting trends · all NFL games
Titans vs Jaguars betting splits
Where was the money on Titans vs Jaguars?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans | 32% | 55% | +6.5 (-105) |
| Jaguars | 68% | 45% | -6.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 63% | 44% | O 40 (-110) |
| Under | 37% | 56% | U 40 (-108) | |
| Moneyline | Titans | 24% | 31% | +240 |
| Jaguars | 76% | 69% | -299 |
The Jaguars held 68% of spread tickets but only 45% of the money; 55% of spread money was on the Titans with 32% of tickets, so the average Titans bet was larger.
The over held 63% of total tickets but only 44% of the money; 56% of total money was on the under with 37% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
76% of moneyline tickets and 69% of moneyline money were on the Jaguars, so the Jaguars drew more tickets than money and the average Titans bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Titans vs Jaguars?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Jaguars) | -6.5 | -6.5 | 0 |
| Total | 39.5 | 40 | +0.5 |
The Jaguars were -6.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -6.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 39.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed 40, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Titans vs Jaguars line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Jaguars -6.5) even with 55% of the spread money on the Titans. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (39.5 to 40) even though 56% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 44% of the money and 63% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.