Cardinals @ Texans
Cardinals
TexansArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Texans beat the Cardinals 21-16 at home. The market closed with Cardinals at +198 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cardinals betting trends · Texans betting trends · all NFL games
Cardinals vs Texans betting splits
Where was the money on Cardinals vs Texans?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cardinals | 74% | 72% | +5.5 (-110) |
| Texans | 26% | 28% | -5.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 82% | 61% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 18% | 39% | U 48 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | 27% | 61% | +198 |
| Texans | 73% | 39% | -240 |
74% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money were on the Cardinals, so the Cardinals drew more tickets than money and the average Texans bet was larger.
82% of total tickets and 61% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
The Texans held 73% of moneyline tickets but only 39% of the money; 61% of moneyline money was on the Cardinals with 27% of tickets, so the average Cardinals bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cardinals vs Texans?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Texans) | -6 | -5.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 48 | 48 | 0 |
The Texans were -6 24 hours before kickoff and closed -5.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Cardinals.
The total was 48 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cardinals vs Texans line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Cardinals (Texans -6 to Texans -5.5), the side holding 72% of the spread money and 74% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (48) even with 61% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.