Bears @ Lions
Bears
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Lions beat the Bears 31-26 at home. The market closed with Bears at +320 on the moneyline and the total at 48. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 42% | 64% | +8 (-111) |
| Lions | 58% | 36% | -8 (-109) | |
| Total | Over | 57% | 31% | O 48 (-110) |
| Under | 43% | 69% | U 48 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 10% | 44% | +320 |
| Lions | 90% | 56% | -405 |
The Lions held 58% of spread tickets but only 36% of the money; 64% of spread money was on the Bears with 42% of tickets, so the average Bears bet was larger.
The over held 57% of total tickets but only 31% of the money; 69% of total money was on the under with 43% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
90% of moneyline tickets and 56% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -8 | -8 | 0 |
| Total | 48 | 48 | 0 |
The Lions were -8 24 hours before kickoff and closed -8: the spread has not moved.
The total was 48 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Lions line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (Lions -8) even with 64% of the spread money on the Bears. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (48) even with 69% of the total money on the under. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.