Steelers @ Browns
Steelers
BrownsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Browns beat the Steelers 13-10 at home. The market closed with Steelers at +115 on the moneyline and the total at 33.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Steelers betting trends · Browns betting trends · all NFL games
Steelers vs Browns betting splits
Where was the money on Steelers vs Browns?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Steelers | 67% | 71% | +2.5 (-110) |
| Browns | 33% | 29% | -2.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 43% | 24% | O 33.5 (-110) |
| Under | 57% | 76% | U 33.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Steelers | 38% | 47% | +115 |
| Browns | 62% | 53% | -138 |
67% of spread tickets and 71% of spread money were on the Steelers, so the average Steelers bet was larger than the average Browns bet.
57% of total tickets and 76% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
62% of moneyline tickets and 53% of moneyline money were on the Browns, so the Browns drew more tickets than money and the average Steelers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Steelers vs Browns?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Browns) | -2.5 | -2.5 | 0 |
| Total | 33 | 33.5 | +0.5 |
The Browns were -2.5 seven hours before kickoff and closed -2.5: the spread has not moved.
The total was 33 seven hours before kickoff and closed 33.5, a 0.5-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Steelers vs Browns line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked seven hours before kickoff (Browns -2.5) even with 71% of the spread money on the Steelers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the over (33 to 33.5) even though 76% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 24% of the money and 43% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.