Cowboys @ Panthers
Cowboys
PanthersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Cowboys beat the Panthers 33-10 on the road. The market closed with Cowboys at -625 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 11 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Cowboys betting trends · Panthers betting trends · all NFL games
Cowboys vs Panthers betting splits
Where was the money on Cowboys vs Panthers?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Cowboys | 62% | 31% | -11.5 (-110) |
| Panthers | 38% | 69% | +11.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 66% | 28% | O 43.5 (-108) |
| Under | 34% | 72% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Cowboys | 87% | 67% | -625 |
| Panthers | 13% | 33% | +455 |
The Cowboys held 62% of spread tickets but only 31% of the money; 69% of spread money was on the Panthers with 38% of tickets, so the average Panthers bet was larger.
The over held 66% of total tickets but only 28% of the money; 72% of total money was on the under with 34% of tickets, so the average under bet was larger.
87% of moneyline tickets and 67% of moneyline money were on the Cowboys, so the Cowboys drew more tickets than money and the average Panthers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Cowboys vs Panthers?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Panthers) | +10.5 | +11.5 | +1 |
| Total | 42.5 | 43.5 | +1 |
The Cowboys were -10.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -11.5, a 1-point move toward the Cowboys.
The total was 42.5 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 1-point move toward the over.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Cowboys vs Panthers line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Cowboys (Panthers +10.5 to Panthers +11.5) even though 69% of the spread money sits on the Panthers; the Cowboys hold 31% of the money and 62% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. The total moved 1 point toward the over (42.5 to 43.5) even though 72% of the total money sits on the under; the over holds 28% of the money and 66% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.