Packers @ Lions
Packers
LionsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Packers beat the Lions 29-22 on the road. The market closed with Packers at +320 on the moneyline and the total at 47. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Packers betting trends · Lions betting trends · all NFL games
Packers vs Lions betting splits
Where was the money on Packers vs Lions?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Packers | 33% | 22% | +8.5 (-106) |
| Lions | 67% | 78% | -8.5 (-113) | |
| Total | Over | 52% | 55% | O 47 (-110) |
| Under | 48% | 45% | U 47 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Packers | 11% | 32% | +320 |
| Lions | 89% | 68% | -405 |
67% of spread tickets and 78% of spread money were on the Lions, so the average Lions bet was larger than the average Packers bet.
52% of total tickets and 55% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
89% of moneyline tickets and 68% of moneyline money were on the Lions, so the Lions drew more tickets than money and the average Packers bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Packers vs Lions?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Lions) | -7.5 | -8.5 | -1 |
| Total | 47 | 47 | 0 |
The Lions were -7.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed -8.5, a 1-point move toward the Lions.
The total was 47 24 hours before kickoff and closed 47: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Packers vs Lions line move?
The spread moved 1 point toward the Lions (Lions -7.5 to Lions -8.5), the side holding 78% of the spread money and 67% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (47) even with 55% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.