49ers @ Seahawks
49ers
SeahawksArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: 49ers beat the Seahawks 31-13 on the road. The market closed with 49ers at -325 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: 49ers betting trends · Seahawks betting trends · all NFL games
49ers vs Seahawks betting splits
Where was the money on 49ers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 49ers | 82% | 85% | -7 (-110) |
| Seahawks | 18% | 15% | +7 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 50% | 63% | O 43.5 (-105) |
| Under | 50% | 37% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | 49ers | 88% | 59% | -325 |
| Seahawks | 12% | 41% | +260 |
82% of spread tickets and 85% of spread money were on the 49ers, so the average 49ers bet was larger than the average Seahawks bet.
50% of total tickets and 63% of total money were on the over, so the average over bet was larger than the average under bet.
88% of moneyline tickets and 59% of moneyline money were on the 49ers, so the 49ers drew more tickets than money and the average Seahawks bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for 49ers vs Seahawks?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Seahawks) | +7 | +7 | 0 |
| Total | 44 | 43.5 | -0.5 |
The 49ers were -7 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -7: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the 49ers vs Seahawks line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Seahawks +7) even with 85% of the spread money on the 49ers. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (44 to 43.5) even though 63% of the total money sits on the over; the under holds 37% of the money and 50% of the tickets, so the line moved away from the money side. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.