Chiefs @ Raiders
Chiefs
RaidersArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Chiefs beat the Raiders 31-17 on the road. The market closed with Chiefs at -485 on the moneyline and the total at 42.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Chiefs betting trends · Raiders betting trends · all NFL games
Chiefs vs Raiders betting splits
Where was the money on Chiefs vs Raiders?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Chiefs | 73% | 52% | -9.5 (-110) |
| Raiders | 27% | 48% | +9.5 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 42% | 6% | O 42.5 (-110) |
| Under | 58% | 94% | U 42.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Chiefs | 92% | 91% | -485 |
| Raiders | 8% | 9% | +370 |
73% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
58% of total tickets and 94% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
92% of moneyline tickets and 91% of moneyline money were on the Chiefs, so the Chiefs drew more tickets than money and the average Raiders bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Chiefs vs Raiders?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Raiders) | +9 | +9.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 42.5 | -1 |
The Chiefs were -9 24 hours before kickoff and closed -9.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Chiefs.
The total was 43.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 42.5, a 1-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Chiefs vs Raiders line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Chiefs (Raiders +9 to Raiders +9.5), the side holding 52% of the spread money and 73% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total moved 1 point toward the under (43.5 to 42.5), the side holding 94% of the total money and 58% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.