Bills @ Eagles
Bills
EaglesArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Eagles beat the Bills 37-34 at home. The market closed with Bills at +124 on the moneyline and the total at 48.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bills betting trends · Eagles betting trends · all NFL games
Bills vs Eagles betting splits
Where was the money on Bills vs Eagles?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bills | 55% | 61% | +2.5 (-105) |
| Eagles | 45% | 39% | -2.5 (-115) | |
| Total | Over | 71% | 53% | O 48.5 (-110) |
| Under | 29% | 47% | U 48.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bills | 38% | 25% | +124 |
| Eagles | 62% | 75% | -142 |
55% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money were on the Bills, so the average Bills bet was larger than the average Eagles bet.
71% of total tickets and 53% of total money were on the over, so the over drew more tickets than money and the average under bet was larger.
62% of moneyline tickets and 75% of moneyline money were on the Eagles, so the average Eagles bet was larger than the average Bills bet.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bills vs Eagles?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Eagles) | -3 | -2.5 | +0.5 |
| Total | 48.5 | 48.5 | 0 |
The Eagles were -3 24 hours before kickoff and closed -2.5, a 0.5-point move toward the Bills.
The total was 48.5 24 hours before kickoff and closed 48.5: it has not moved.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bills vs Eagles line move?
The spread moved 0.5 points toward the Bills (Eagles -3 to Eagles -2.5), the side holding 61% of the spread money and 55% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. The total did not move from the line tracked 24 hours before kickoff (48.5) even with 53% of the total money on the over. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.