Bears @ Vikings
Bears
VikingsArchived game: closing numbers from Action Network's consensus at kickoff. Live odds, picks and the confluence table only run on games still on the slate.
Matchup summary
Final: Bears beat the Vikings 12-10 on the road. The market closed with Bears at +138 on the moneyline and the total at 43.5. This was an NFL 2023 week 12 game. The closing betting splits (tickets vs money), the earliest tracked line and the movement into kickoff are below.
More on this matchup: Bears betting trends · Vikings betting trends · all NFL games
Bears vs Vikings betting splits
Where was the money on Bears vs Vikings?
| Market | Side | Tickets | Money | Closing line / odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bears | 45% | 48% | +3 (-110) |
| Vikings | 55% | 52% | -3 (-110) | |
| Total | Over | 47% | 34% | O 43.5 (-110) |
| Under | 53% | 66% | U 43.5 (-110) | |
| Moneyline | Bears | 24% | 75% | +138 |
| Vikings | 76% | 25% | -164 |
55% of spread tickets and 52% of spread money were on the Vikings, so the Vikings drew more tickets than money and the average Bears bet was larger.
53% of total tickets and 66% of total money were on the under, so the average under bet was larger than the average over bet.
The Vikings held 76% of moneyline tickets but only 25% of the money; 75% of moneyline money was on the Bears with 24% of tickets, so the average Bears bet was larger.
Line movement
What was the closing line for Bears vs Vikings?
| Market | Earliest tracked | Closing | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (Vikings) | -3 | -3 | 0 |
| Total | 44 | 43.5 | -0.5 |
The Vikings were -3 twelve hours before kickoff and closed -3: the spread has not moved.
The total was 44 twelve hours before kickoff and closed 43.5, a 0.5-point move toward the under.
The earliest tracked line is the oldest consensus snapshot Locksmith holds for this game, not the market opener.
Why the line moved
Why did the Bears vs Vikings line move?
The spread did not move from the line tracked twelve hours before kickoff (Vikings -3) even with 52% of the spread money on the Vikings. The total moved 0.5 points toward the under (44 to 43.5), the side holding 66% of the total money and 53% of the tickets, so the line and the money went the same way. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.
Across 822 NFL games (2023 week 5 through 2026 week 2, Action Network closing splits), the side with a larger money share than ticket share covered the spread 50.0% of the time (384-384-13) and hit the total 50.8% (396-383-6); break-even at -110 is 52.4%. Splits describe where the money sits, not what will happen.